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中国经济能否走出困境就看能否找到合适的宏观政策
文章来源:安徽远成重工机械有限公司 更新时间:2016-12-01

QINGDAODAXUEJINGJIXUEYUANJIAOSHOUYIXIANRONGZAIZHUANWENZHONGRENWEI,DANGQIANZHONGGUOJINGJIRENGRANZAIKUNNANZHONGQIANJIN,NENGFOUZOUCHUDANGQIANDEKUNJING,JIUZAIYUZHONGGUOZHENGFUNENGFOUZHENZHENGCONGHONGGUANJIAODUZHAODAOHESHIDEZHENGCE,ZHENZHENGRANGZHONGGUOJINGJISHISHANGYIGEZHENGQUEFAZHANZHIFANGXIANG。ZHEIYIGUANDIANZHIDEGUANZHU。

ZHONGGUOJINGJIZHENGZAIZOUCHUDANGQIANDEKUNJINGMA?GUJIZHEIGEWENTI,SHIZHENGGEGUONEIWAISHICHANGZUIWEIGUANZHUDEWENTI。YINWEICONG3YUEFENZHONGGUOGUSHIDESHANGZHANG,HAISHI3YUEFENPMIDOUBISHICHANGYUQIDEYAOHAO。TEBIESHI3YUEFENCAIXINPMIDADAO49.7,CHUANG13GEYUEYILAIXINGAO,GENGSHIRANGSHICHANGDUIZHONGGUOJINGJIZOUCHUDANGQIANKUNJINGZENGJIALEXINXIN。

BUGUO,DANGQIANZHONGGUOJINGJIXINGSHIDEHAOZHUAN,KENENGDEYIDEYUJINNIANYILAIZHONGGUOFANGDICHANSHICHANGDEBIANHUA。YIJUYANJIUYUANZAI4YUE1RIGONGBUQIZHENDUI30GEDIANXINGCHENGSHIDIAOCHA。SHUJUXIANSHI,ZAIJINNIAN3YUEFEN,30GEDIANXINGCHENGSHIXINJIANSHANGPINZHUZHAICHENGJIAOMIANJIWEI2,563WANPINGFANGMI,YUEZENGZHANG133%,NIANZENGZHANG82.9%。QIZHONGHANGZHOUZENGFUJUSHOU,GAODA322.1%;TIANJINCIZHI,ZENGFUDA260.7%。SUIZHEFANGDICHANSHICHANGDEHUINUAN,WANKE、HENGDADENGLONGTOUFANGDICHANQIYEZAIDIYIJIDUDEXIAOSHOUEDOUCHUANGXIALISHIZUIGAOSHUIPING,FENBIEWEI725YIYUAN、670YIYUAN。

比分波胆 ZAIQUANGUOZHUFANGXIAOSHOUCHUANGLISHIJILUZENGZHANGDETONGSHI,GUONEIGEGECHENGSHIDEFANGJIAYEKUAISUBIAOSHENG,SHENZHIYUYIXIANCHENGSHICHUXIANLEFANGJIASHANGZHANGFENGKUANG。ZHONGGUOZHISHUYANJIUYUANFABUDE3YUEFENZHONGGUOBAICHENGLOUJIAZHISHUXIANSHI,QUANGUOSHOUJIANCHADE100GECHENGSHI3YUEFENXINJIANZHUZHAIPINGJUNJIAGEWEIMEIPINGFANGMI1,1303YUAN,HUANBISHANGZHANG1.90%,ZHANGFUJIAOSHANGGEYUEKUODA1.3%。GUOJIATONGJIJUDESHUZIYEXIANSHI,70GEDAZHONGCHENGSHIZHONGYOU47GECHENGSHIDEFANGJIASHANGZHANG。ERZHONGGUOFANGDICHANDEHUINUANHENKUAIJIUHUIFANYINGZHENGGEJINGJISHUJUXIANGHAODEFANGMIANLAI。ZHEISHIZHONGGUO"FANGDICHANHUA"JINGJIDEJIBENTEZHENG。

DANSHI,SHANGMIANZHEIXIESHUJUNENGGOUYIWEIZHEZHONGGUOJINGJIZOUCHULEDANGQIANDEKUNJINGMA?HUODANGQIANZHONGGUOJINGJISHIFOUKAISHIZHUDIFANDAN?DANSHIJISHANGYAOYOUCISHANGSHUSHUJUDECHUZHONGGUOJINGJIJIBENKAISHIXIANGHAODEJIELUNSHIBURONGYIDE。ZUIJIN,GUOJIQINGSUANYINXING(BIS)YINXINGJINRONGJIJINGJIBUZHUGUANBULIHAO(Claudio Borio)ZAIJINNIAN2YUEFABIAODEYIPIANYANJIANG ,QITIMUJIUSHI"XIJIXUSHANGYAN:TOUSHIQUANQIUJINGJIDEYIMIANJINGZI"(The movie plays on: A lens for viewing global economy)。BULIHAOYANJIANGZHICHU,MEIGUOJINRONGWEIJICHABUDUOYIJINGGUOQULE8NIANLE,DANSHIWULUNSHIOUMEIFADAGUOJIA,HAISHIZHONGGUODENGXINXINGSHICHANGJINGJIGUOJIA,GEGEGUOJIAJINGJIRENGRANMEIYOUZOUXIANGHUIFUXINGCHIXUZENGZHANGZHILU。NEIMEZHENGGEQUANQIUJINGJIZENGZHANGWEIHEHUIRUCIJIANNAN,ZHUYAOYUANYINZAIYUQUANQIUGEGUOJINGJIGENBENWUFABAITUODANGQIANZUAIJINGJIZENGZHANGDEJIDAKUNJING:RUZHAIWUTAIGAO、SHENGCHANLIZENGZHANGTAIDI、GEGEGUOJIAKECAIQUDEZHENGCEDANXINGKONGJIANTAIXIAO。

比分波胆 SHOUXIAN,CONGZHONGGUODEZHAIWUWENTILAIKAN,2008NIANMEIGUOJINRONGWEIJIZHIHOU,YIYINXINGZHUDAODEZHONGGUOJINRONGTIXI,DANGNIANYINXINGYEDEYEJICHUANGLISHIXINGAO,BULIANGDAIKUANSHUANGJIANG,ZAIGENBENMEIYOUFASHENGJINRONGWEIJIDEQINGKUANGSHANG,ZHONGGUOZHENGFUCAIQULEBIOUMEILIANGHUAKUANSONGGENGWEIKUANSONGDEHUOBIZHENGCE,CONGERSHIDEZHONGGUODEZHAIWUZAIDUANQINEIDAFUSHANGZHANG。BIRUZHONGGUOGEBUMENZONGZHAIWUZHANGDPDEBIZHONGYOU2008NIANDE170%SHANGSHENGDAO2014NIANDE235.7%,6NIANSHIJIANSHANGSHENGLE65.7%。ERGENJUMAIKENXIFANGFACESUANZEZHONGGUOGEBUMENZONGZHAIWUZHANGDPDEBIZHONGYOU2008NIANDE184.6%SHANGSHENGDAO2014NIANDE278.9%,6NIANSHIJIANSHANGSHENGLE94.3%。KEYISHUO,YOUYUZHONGGUOYANGXINGCAIQUZHONGGUOSHIDELIANGHUAKUANSONGDEHUOBIZHENGCE,SHIDEZAOJINIANGUONEIYINXINGXINDAIGUODUKUOZHANG,QIYEJIDIFANGZHENGFUZHAIWUKUAISUSHANGSHENG。ERZHEIGEBIJIAOZAIQUANQIULAIKANYESHIZUIGAODEZHIYI。

ZHONGGUOJINGJIZHENGZAIZOUCHUDANGQIANDEKUNJINGMA?GUJIZHEIGEWENTI,SHIZHENGGEGUONEIWAISHICHANGZUIWEIGUANZHUDEWENTI。YINWEICONG3YUEFENZHONGGUOGUSHIDESHANGZHANG,HAISHI3YUEFENPMIDOUBISHICHANGYUQIDEYAOHAO。TEBIESHI3YUEFENCAIXINPMIDADAO49.7,CHUANG13GEYUEYILAIXINGAO,GENGSHIRANGSHICHANGDUIZHONGGUOJINGJIZOUCHUDANGQIANKUNJINGZENGJIALEXINXIN。

BUGUO,DANGQIANZHONGGUOJINGJIXINGSHIDEHAOZHUAN,KENENGDEYIDEYUJINNIANYILAIZHONGGUOFANGDICHANSHICHANGDEBIANHUA。YIJUYANJIUYUANZAI4YUE1RIGONGBUQIZHENDUI30GEDIANXINGCHENGSHIDIAOCHA。SHUJUXIANSHI,ZAIJINNIAN3YUEFEN,30GEDIANXINGCHENGSHIXINJIANSHANGPINZHUZHAICHENGJIAOMIANJIWEI2,563WANPINGFANGMI,YUEZENGZHANG133%,NIANZENGZHANG82.9%。QIZHONGHANGZHOUZENGFUJUSHOU,GAODA322.1%;TIANJINCIZHI,ZENGFUDA260.7%。SUIZHEFANGDICHANSHICHANGDEHUINUAN,WANKE、HENGDADENGLONGTOUFANGDICHANQIYEZAIDIYIJIDUDEXIAOSHOUEDOUCHUANGXIALISHIZUIGAOSHUIPING,FENBIEWEI725YIYUAN、670YIYUAN。

比分波胆 ZAIQUANGUOZHUFANGXIAOSHOUCHUANGLISHIJILUZENGZHANGDETONGSHI,GUONEIGEGECHENGSHIDEFANGJIAYEKUAISUBIAOSHENG,SHENZHIYUYIXIANCHENGSHICHUXIANLEFANGJIASHANGZHANGFENGKUANG。ZHONGGUOZHISHUYANJIUYUANFABUDE3YUEFENZHONGGUOBAICHENGLOUJIAZHISHUXIANSHI,QUANGUOSHOUJIANCHADE100GECHENGSHI3YUEFENXINJIANZHUZHAIPINGJUNJIAGEWEIMEIPINGFANGMI1,1303YUAN,HUANBISHANGZHANG1.90%,ZHANGFUJIAOSHANGGEYUEKUODA1.3%。GUOJIATONGJIJUDESHUZIYEXIANSHI,70GEDAZHONGCHENGSHIZHONGYOU47GECHENGSHIDEFANGJIASHANGZHANG。ERZHONGGUOFANGDICHANDEHUINUANHENKUAIJIUHUIFANYINGZHENGGEJINGJISHUJUXIANGHAODEFANGMIANLAI。ZHEISHIZHONGGUO"FANGDICHANHUA"JINGJIDEJIBENTEZHENG。

DANSHI,SHANGMIANZHEIXIESHUJUNENGGOUYIWEIZHEZHONGGUOJINGJIZOUCHULEDANGQIANDEKUNJINGMA?HUODANGQIANZHONGGUOJINGJISHIFOUKAISHIZHUDIFANDAN?DANSHIJISHANGYAOYOUCISHANGSHUSHUJUDECHUZHONGGUOJINGJIJIBENKAISHIXIANGHAODEJIELUNSHIBURONGYIDE。ZUIJIN,GUOJIQINGSUANYINXING(BIS)YINXINGJINRONGJIJINGJIBUZHUGUANBULIHAO(Claudio Borio)ZAIJINNIAN2YUEFABIAODEYIPIANYANJIANG ,QITIMUJIUSHI"XIJIXUSHANGYAN:TOUSHIQUANQIUJINGJIDEYIMIANJINGZI"(The movie plays on: A lens for viewing global economy)。BULIHAOYANJIANGZHICHU,MEIGUOJINRONGWEIJICHABUDUOYIJINGGUOQULE8NIANLE,DANSHIWULUNSHIOUMEIFADAGUOJIA,HAISHIZHONGGUODENGXINXINGSHICHANGJINGJIGUOJIA,GEGEGUOJIAJINGJIRENGRANMEIYOUZOUXIANGHUIFUXINGCHIXUZENGZHANGZHILU。NEIMEZHENGGEQUANQIUJINGJIZENGZHANGWEIHEHUIRUCIJIANNAN,ZHUYAOYUANYINZAIYUQUANQIUGEGUOJINGJIGENBENWUFABAITUODANGQIANZUAIJINGJIZENGZHANGDEJIDAKUNJING:RUZHAIWUTAIGAO、SHENGCHANLIZENGZHANGTAIDI、GEGEGUOJIAKECAIQUDEZHENGCEDANXINGKONGJIANTAIXIAO。

比分波胆 SHOUXIAN,CONGZHONGGUODEZHAIWUWENTILAIKAN,2008NIANMEIGUOJINRONGWEIJIZHIHOU,YIYINXINGZHUDAODEZHONGGUOJINRONGTIXI,DANGNIANYINXINGYEDEYEJICHUANGLISHIXINGAO,BULIANGDAIKUANSHUANGJIANG,ZAIGENBENMEIYOUFASHENGJINRONGWEIJIDEQINGKUANGSHANG,ZHONGGUOZHENGFUCAIQULEBIOUMEILIANGHUAKUANSONGGENGWEIKUANSONGDEHUOBIZHENGCE,CONGERSHIDEZHONGGUODEZHAIWUZAIDUANQINEIDAFUSHANGZHANG。BIRUZHONGGUOGEBUMENZONGZHAIWUZHANGDPDEBIZHONGYOU2008NIANDE170%SHANGSHENGDAO2014NIANDE235.7%,6NIANSHIJIANSHANGSHENGLE65.7%。ERGENJUMAIKENXIFANGFACESUANZEZHONGGUOGEBUMENZONGZHAIWUZHANGDPDEBIZHONGYOU2008NIANDE184.6%SHANGSHENGDAO2014NIANDE278.9%,6NIANSHIJIANSHANGSHENGLE94.3%。KEYISHUO,YOUYUZHONGGUOYANGXINGCAIQUZHONGGUOSHIDELIANGHUAKUANSONGDEHUOBIZHENGCE,SHIDEZAOJINIANGUONEIYINXINGXINDAIGUODUKUOZHANG,QIYEJIDIFANGZHENGFUZHAIWUKUAISUSHANGSHENG。ERZHEIGEBIJIAOZAIQUANQIULAIKANYESHIZUIGAODEZHIYI。

比分波胆 DANSHI,2015NIANZHIHOUZHEIZHONGZHAIWUGUODUZENGZHANGDEQINGKUANGBUJINMEIYOUJIANRUO,FANZHIHAIZAIZENGJIA。CONG2014NIAN11YUEKAISHI,ZHONGGUOYANGXINGLIANXUDUOCIJIANGZHUNJIANGXI,CONGERSHIDEZHONGGUODEXINDAIKUOZHANGJINYIBUJIASU。BIRU,2016NIANYINXINGDEXINDAIZENGZHANGDADAO2.51WANYI,CHUANGLISHIXINGAO,YESHILISHIZUIGAOYUEFEN2009NIAN1YUE8900YIDE2.8BEI。GENGWEIYANZHONGDESHI,JINNIANLAIZHONGGUOYINXING(601988,GUBA)XINDAIGUODUKUOZHANG,YANGXINGXIANGSHICHANGLIURUDALIANGDELIUDONGXING,ZHEIXIEZIJINBINGMEIYOULIURUSHITIJINGJI,ERSHILIURUGUONEIDEFANGDICHANSHICHANGHUOQITAZICHAN。BIRU,CONGZUIJINGUONEISHANGSHIYINXINGSUOGONGBUDESHUJULAIKAN,GERENANJIEDAIKUANZHANZHENGGEYINXINGXINDAIZENGZHANGBIZHONGDA30%。ZHEIBIAOMINGYIWANGGUONEIQIYEJIDIFANGZHENGFUGUODUZHAIWUKAISHIZHUANXIANGJIATINGZHAIWUFUDANZENGJIA。ERZHEIXIEZHAIWUFENGXIANSHIJIANLIZAIGUONEIFANGDICHANSHICHANGBUJINXINGZHOUQIXINGDIAOZHENGJIFANGJIAZHIZHANGBUDIEDEJICHUSHANG。DANSHI,ZHEIZHONGJIADINGYIDANBIANHUA,GUONEIQIYE、DIFANGZHENGFU、JIATINGDEZHAIWUFENGXIANDEWENTIDOUHUIBAOLUCHULAI。ERZHONGGUOFANGDICHANSHICHANGBUKECHIXUXINGFAZHANZAOJIUCHENGLEQUSHI。

QICI,DUIYUSHENGCHANLVTAIDIDEWENTI。ZHONGGUOQIYEBUJINMIANLINYANZHONGDECHANNENGGUOSHENG、XUDUOJIANGSHIQIYEPOCHAN、SANSIXIANCHENGSHIFANGDICHANQUKUCUNDEWENTI,ERQIEZAIYUZHONGGUOJINGJIDEZHOUQIXINGDIAOZHENG,QIYELIRUNQUANMIANXIAJIANGDEWENTI。YIYOUSHUJUSHI,1-2YUEFEN,GUIMOYISHANGGONGYEQIYELIRUNZONGETONGBIZENGZHANG4.8%,XINZENGLIRUN355.4YIYUAN,CONGERGAIBIANLE2015NIANQUANNIANLIRUNXIAJIANGDEJUMIAN(2015NIANLIRUNXIAJIANG2.3%)。DANSHI,ZHONGGUOGONGYEQIYESHENGCHANJINGYINGMIANLINDEKUNNANRENGRANJIAODUO。BIRUCAIKUANGHEYUANCAILIAOXINGYELIRUNDAFUXIAJIANG、QIYEKUCUNYALIRENGRANJIAODA、QIYEYINGSHOUZHANGKUANJIXUSHANGSHENG。ZHEIXIEDOUBIAOMINGDANGQIANZHONGGUOJINGYINGSHIFENKUNNAN,SHENGCHANXIAOLVJIDI,ERQIEZHEIZHONGQINGKUANGZAIDUANQINEIWUFAGAIBIAN。

比分波胆 KEYISHUO,2013NIANXIABANNIANYILAI,ZHENGFUCAIQULEYIXILIEDECIJIZHENGCE,XIWANGYICILAIZHONGGUOJINGJIWENDINGZENGZHANG,DANSHISHIJIDEXIAOGUODOUSHIFENYOUXIAN,CONGERSHIDEZHONGGUOJINGJIZHENGCEYOUBUDEBUHUIDAOQIANXIENIANLAOLU,HUOSHIYICAIZHENGCHIZILAIZENGJIAGONGGONGJICHUSHESHITOUZI,HUOSHIZHONGXINYIZUIWEIYOUHUIDEXINDAIZHENGCEHESHUISHOUZHENGCEZHONGQI"FANGDICHANHUA"JINGJI。ZHEIXIEZUODUANQINEIHUOYOUYIDINGDEJIAOYI,JIZHONGGUOJINGJIZENGZHANGXIAXINGDEYALIDEYIJIANQING。ZHEIBUJINZUAILEZHONGGUOJINGJIJIEGOUDIAOZHENGJIZHONGGUOJINGJIZHANLVEZHUANXING,GENGWEIYANZHONGDEHUIRANGWEILAIZHONGGUOJINGJIZENGZHANGZENGJIAGENGDUODEKUNNAN。


比分波胆 ZONGZHI,DANGQIANZHONGGUOJINGJIRENGRANZAIKUNNANZHONGQIANJIN,NENGFOUZOUCHUDANGQIANDEKUNJING,JIUZAIYUZHONGGUOZHENGFUNENGFOUZHENZHENGCONGHONGGUANJIAODUZHAODAOHESHIDEZHENGCE,ZHENZHENGRANGZHONGGUOJINGJISHISHANGYIGEZHENGQUEFAZHANZHIFANGXIANG。

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